On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve made a notable decision to keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%.
In a significant shift, they removed previous comments about progress being made in the fight against inflation from their statement.
Future Trajectory of Interest Rates
Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, communicated that the future trajectory of interest rates hinges on forthcoming data regarding job market conditions and inflation patterns.
While the Fed’s announcement resulted in a modest 1% dip in Bitcoin’s value, the cryptocurrency managed to sustain its position above the critical $100,000 level, trading just shy of $102,000.
Earlier in the week, Bitcoin had fallen below that threshold after the debut of China’s DeepSeek AI, an event that led to a staggering $1 trillion loss in global market valuation.
Economic Context
The Federal Open Market Committee underscored the ongoing strong economic growth and the current low unemployment rates, suggesting that there’s no urgent need to lower interest rates right now.
This meeting marked the first under Donald Trump’s second presidential term, during which he has been a proponent of lowering borrowing costs.
His administration’s proposed tariffs of 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada, as well as a temporary halt on federal spending freezes, have created a cloud of uncertainty over the economy.
Market Observations
Market observers are keenly watching for hints of possible monetary easing.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, there’s a 46.5% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in June, with a slightly lower 43.5% probability for July.
These forecasts reflect market expectations for a maximum of two rate cuts in 2025, with less than 40% likelihood for any further reductions.
This complex interplay of interest rates and economic indicators is vital to understanding the current landscape for both Bitcoin and the broader financial market.
Source: CryptoBriefing